I wrote a book, the AIDS Pandemic in Latin America, and have studied public policy and infectious disease for nearly twenty years. Here is a lecture that I wrote (around 2010?) for an “Introduction to International Studies” class. It would need to be updated now; it may also some references to my own experiences, which would need to be removed. But my hope is that it might prove a useful starting place for someone who wants to do a lecture on this topic in a similar class.
HIV/AIDS
Terms:
clades
HIV 1-B
HIV 2
Retrovirus
Cameroon
Character of the Virus:
- HIV is not one virus but many
- The result of more than one introduction into humanity
- Two main forms: HIV-1; HIV-2
- Great diversity
- Difficult to create vaccine
- 10 year latency
- initial infection- blood/sex/mother daughter
- flu-like symptoms
- body holds the virus in check
- over time, the virus gradually erodes the immune system’s ability to defend the body
- the person dies of opportunistic infections
- there are different latency periods for different people: my Cuban experience
- medicines don’t work with everyone: my experience in the support group in Sao Paulo
- most people, the medications are effective
- recently realized: in a discordant couple medications prevent transmission in 98% of cases
- means that treatment is prevention
- heart-breaking: long argued that treatment was too expensive
- the only economical way to treat the virus was prevention
- proves to have been a flawed paradigm
History of HIV
- AIDS first recognized in 1981
- Far older
- Genetic tests in 1990s suggested that it could be as old as the 1880s
- Not older or it would have come to the Americas with the slave trade
- Recent work has given us much more insight
- Molecular geneticists have studied deviations in the virus’s genes to understand its origins
- Main form of the virus emerged in Southern Cameroon
- Then moved to Brazzaville –now Kinshasa- in the DRC
- First blood sample with the virus was taken there in 1959
- There were isolated cases in the 60s and 70s
- Norwegian sailor/Canadian mining engineer
- Document the existence of the virus
- The virus came to Haiti in the late 1970s
- About the same it first appeared in the U.S.
- Molecular testing now suggests that it came first to Haiti, most likely with Haitian professionals who had worked in the Congo after it attained independence
- The virus appeared in the U.S in the 1970s, first amongst injecting drug users in New Jersey and California
- Gay men- were the second wave
- Early association of the illness of the disease with drug use and homosexuality
- Shaped how the virus was seen
- People globally associated the virus with the U.S.- moral breakdown of U.S. society
- Many predictions throughout Latin America that the disease could not spread there
- Castro’s rhetoric; Mexico- people resistant to germs; Chile- the Andes an impenetrable shield
- Wasn’t until the mid 1980s that people realized that there was a heterosexual epidemic in Africa and Haiti
- Intense discrimination
- Haitians could not give blood
- SNL skit: “Bad Idea Jeans”
- Man forced to flee NE Brazil: squeezing fruit in the market
Medication
- Before 1996 there was little effective treatment
- Vancouver conference- announced that there was treatment but at a cost
- Looked like the world would have two epidemics: one northern and one southern
- Long struggle changed the terms of the debate
- Latin America key to this
- Part of the reason that I want to study region
Three Questions
- I had three main questions when I studied HIV/AIDS in Latin America
- Why was the epidemic so diverse despite the cultural unity of the region
- How could a disease spread by the most personal of behaviors be so impacted by INTL forces
- Why had LA avoided the disaster that swept over Africa
Brazil
- Brazil played a key role in changing the terms of the debate about providing free medications
- Early history of HIV in Brazil
- HIV associated with U.S.
- First cases appeared- Brazilian newspapers asked “Is Brazil sophisticated enough to have AIDS?” Almost a sense of pride
- Disease associated with urban, wealthy gay people.
- Democratization
- AIDS arrived around 1985, the same year that the military surrendered power in Brazil
- Decision to make drugs available
- Constitution: health a right
- Scale of struggle: generics
- September 11 attacks: US government debated breaking the patent on Cipro, in the aftermath of the anthrax attacks
- I believe about 5 people had died in those attacks
- Reaction of southern governments: we have millions dying, and you are fighting to keep us from breaking patents?
- Force went out from the fight
- George Bush Jr: committed to the fight against HIV
- Saved money: fewer people entering the system for end of life care
- Did so despite broad opposition: U.S; World Bank
- Why: democratization; national pride; Brazilian pragmatism and sexual openness; Brazilian wealth; size
- Anecdote: man who was having his mouth rebuilt
- This policy is now a means to assert their independence from the U.S. and Brazil’s stature on the global stage
- Brazil also a nation of 200 million people
- It is too big of a market for pharmaceutical companies to ignore, or for the U.S. to pressure
- Brazil’s economy is larger than that of Britain
- Extent to which it has change global thinking about HIV/AIDs
- Treatment and prevention are linked
- Can’t talk about the disease without discussing its social context
- Willingness to include sex workers in conversation
- My anecdote from brothel: level of ignorance among sex workers
- Anger in Brazil about restrictions on US aid: could not do anything seen to “promote” sex workers
Cuba and the Caribbean
- Association of AIDS with homosexuality and drug use in the U.S.
- Sign of moral breakdown
- Cuba saw itself as being in a health competition with the United States
- Strong response: mass-testing; quarantine/sanatoria
- a success in controlling the virus
- Cuba may have had the lowest HIV rate in the hemisphere
- Self-injection movement; the “rockers”
- Between 89-92 more than 200 people deliberately infected themselves.
- Mostly young men between the ages of 15 and 21
- The publicity about this made the government change its policy
- Now policy like that of other LA nations
- The government is producing triple anti-retroviral therapy, the “AIDS cocktail”
- Hard to get information
- My experience in the sanatoria trying to speak to someone with a government minder there
- Clear improvement: person who wanted clippers for his poodle
- Need to address homophobia
South America
- Importance of drugs
- Saw this in Brazil
- Low rates in producer countries
- High rates in consuming countries
- Talk about my experience interviewing crack and injecting drug users in Sao Paulo
- Don’t usually think of drugs being sold within SA
- Great market in Southern urban centers
- Shapes the epidemic of HIV in these areas, which are also urban, and associated with drugs
- In the producing countries: very low rates, generally among gay men
- Great disparity between the two regions in South America
- An HIV positive person in Argentina is a 170 more likely to be a drug user than in Bolivia
- Those S.A. countries that are neither producers nor consumers of drugs have a low rate of HIV
- For example, Chile has a relatively low rate of HIV infection
Central America and Mexico
- Rate of HIV relatively low in Mexico
- Less than in the U.S. and some C.A. countries
- In part because historically injecting drug use has been uncommon in Mexico
- About 90% of the cases of HIV transmission in Mexico are by means of sex
- Most cases still amongst gay men, although this is changing
- The same process of the feminization of the epidemic is happening in Mexico as in most of the world
- Rural character of epidemic in Mexico
- Originally urban, but it is now moving to the countryside
- A process that started along the border and has moved south
- Mexico lower rate historically than U.S.
- Higher rate among housewives than sex workers in Oaxaca
- Migration: young men abroad; outside of small villages for the first time in their life; money; new opportunities; different sexual customs, a lot of stress; experimentation; then they return
- Have to be careful: migrants marginalized
- Newspaper coverage of them in Oaxaca terrible
- According to one account in the newspaper El Tiempo from February 2003: “50% of women who go to the U.S. prostitute themselves” the headline
- There was no citation in the article for this information
- Complaints about migrants returning, getting drunk, driving
- Migrants are marginalized twice: once in the north, and again when they return
- Still, migration does affect the epidemic
- Tough for wives to talk about safe sex the first night that their husbands return from Chicago
- Strong discrimination
- Central America has multiple epidemics
- One problem: not all governments purchasing generics at a low price
- Might still cost $1,600 a year to provide treatment in some C.A. countries
- In Mexico, the medicines are free (in principle) but not the tests
- The people don’t always receive the medicines that they are promised
- Frente Comun’s findings in Oaxaca
- NGO shut down
- Great tragedy
- How do you do fieldwork in a region with 16 different languages, each of which may have different dialects?
- FC had largely solved this problem
Variables that impact the epidemic internationally
- What do we see when we look at the virus globally
- Huge disparities in the level of the virus in different communities
- First thing to notice: not a disease of the poor
- Bolivia and Nicaragua have the lowest rates of HIV infection in the Americas
- Very poor nations
- Argentina and Brazil: higher rates
- Level of economic development not enough to explain disparities in HIV levels
- War: also does not lead to higher HIV rates
- This was a common hypothesis early in the virus’ history
- Look at L.A.
- Countries most impacted by war have lower HIV rates
- Best example: Central America
- Nicaragua: profoundly impact by war in the 1980s
- Low level of HIV
- Honduras another example
- Spared the fighting that swept most of CA
- Highest level of HIV in C.A. ten years ago
- Angola provides another example
- Warfare closes borders and limits mobility
- Tends to undermine the spread of HIV
- What are important variables?
- Have to have some caution
- Global HIV levels highest in Southern Africa
- Swaziland: highest rate in the world, 26%
- Yet the virus came late to South Africa
- Took off in the 1990s
- So the rate of HIV can change quickly
- Africa suffered because it was where the virus began
- Wide-spread before anyone identified the virus and how it spread
- Legacy of colonialism also spread the virus
- In particular, the migration of men without their families into southern Africa
- If you were to identify one factor that spread the virus early in its history, I would argue that it was that
- Migration is key to understanding the virus
- Part of the reason that I worried about Mexico
- But you can also look at countries, such as Senegal, that have been as successful as the United States at containing the virus
- Regulation of sex work in Senegal: successful
- Also important to say that the disease cannot be understood outside of a social context
- A disease spread by the most personal of behaviors, which is shaped by international forces
- That what’s interesting to me: the ability of social change and public policy to fundamentally change how we view an illness and the progress of an epidemic
The epidemic in Southern Africa
- Return again to southern Africa
- Why the was the epidemic so bad there
- I would point to five factors
- One: democratization
- Where nations work with civil society, the epidemic tends to wane
- Much of the region not democratic at the time when HIV first appeared, with the exception of South Africa, which was headed by Nelson Mandela
- State capacity: many governments weak
- Timing: people did not fully understand the virus when it appeared
- Mismanagement: the government of S. Africa deliberately downplayed the virus
- Nelson Mandela overwhelmed with the legacy of apartheid
- Later said that not making HIV a top priority was his main mistake
- But the real problem was his successor Thabo Mbeki
- An HIV denialist
- Fought against making treatment available
- Had to be made to by the courts
- This was in a country that did have the means to provide the medicines
- situation later changed
- but according to one study by Harvard Medical School, the government’s failure to make these medicines available led to the deaths of more than 300,000 South Africans
- that study is now relatively old
- sure that the number is much higher now
- democratization important to fighting the epidemic
- but it is not enough to stop the virus on its own
- there has to be a will in the government to fight it
Why was the epidemic less severe in Latin America?
- so why did LA avoid such a devastating epidemic?
- Emerged in LA. later
- People had time to react, unlike in Africa
- Emerged during democratization
- People advocated for care
- States had greater capacity
- Cuba: implemented quarantine
- Brazil: free treatment for all
- Most African states did not have the infrastructure at the time to have done that
- Migration important in LA
- But there were not movements within Latin America: say from South America to Mexico on the same scale of the movements in Southern Africa
Social Construction of a Disease
- the point that I am trying to make is about the malleability of diseases
- when HIV rates were so high in Honduras early in the epidemic, the WHO sent a team to study what was happening
- fear: there was a particularly aggressive form of the virus in the country
- not the case
- turns out that the epidemic spreads or declines based on public policy
- if I had to pick one variable to account for the spread of the disease: discrimination
- discrimination drives the sufferers underground
- fosters ignorance
- makes it difficult to implement policies that contain the virus
- in areas where civil society mobilizes to address the epidemic –such as Brazil- the trajectory of the epidemic can change very quickly
- migration: would be the second most important variable
- HIV- surprising because it defies easy answers
- Not simply a disease of poverty
- Does not always explode with warfare
- Much more subtle than that
The Future
- around 2000 the future still looked very bleak for the HIV/AIDS pandemic
- Now there are number of positive developments
- First person cured: bone marrow transplant for leukemia
- Not large-scale possibility
- But proof of principle
- In mice, they have altered stem cells to create a form of white blood cell that controls the virus
- If possible in humans: medication may no longer be need
- Work continues on a vaccine
- Now have a virus that is 35% successful
- Not enough to use commercially
- But they are studying the virus to see what antibodies were produced by the people who were protected
- For the first time, we can begin to see the correlates of immunity
- Creates a pathway to create vaccine
- More optimism in the field than I have seeb
- I’ve been following this virus for a long time